AI IPO 大潮來了!Anthropic、OpenAI 接連密件遞表,一兆美元上市潮怎麼影響台灣
六月第一週,Anthropic 與 OpenAI 前後腳向美國 SEC 遞出機密版上市文件,估值分別逼近 9,650 億與 8,000 多億美元。AI 龍頭集體叩關華爾街,對台灣的開發者、企業與一般使用者代表什麼?
The AI IPO Wave is Coming! Anthropic and OpenAI File Confidentially, How Will This Affect Taiwan?
On a Sunday evening in June, a Taiwanese SaaS founder was scrolling through his phone in Taipei when he saw a news push notification: OpenAI had confirmed that it had confidentially submitted its IPO filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). He was taken aback for two seconds - just a week ago, he had seen that his arch-rival Anthropic had also filed. Two AI companies that had been burning money at an alarming rate were now lining up to go public on Wall Street.
This is not a rumor. On June 1, 2026, Anthropic confirmed that it had confidentially submitted its S-1 filing to the SEC; on June 8, OpenAI followed suit. The two companies filed just a week apart, essentially putting the question of whether AI companies can make money and are worth their valuation directly in front of the capital market. For Taiwan, this may seem like a distant event, but it's actually not that far away - the corporate governance, pricing strategies, and product pace of companies like ChatGPT and Claude, which you use every day, will all be tied to the fact that they are now public companies.
Event Background
The so-called "confidential filing" is a US regulation that allows large companies to submit their S-1 draft to the SEC for review without making their financial details public, and then make it public when they are about to list. The advantage is that companies can reserve their position and flexibility without revealing their bottom line to their competitors too early. OpenAI also stated in its announcement that submitting the filing gave them the option to go public at any time in the future, but the timing has not been determined, as some things are better done as a private company.
In simple terms, it means "queue up first, but not necessarily go public immediately".
Why now? Because of money. Anthropic had just completed a funding round of approximately $65 billion before submitting its filing, pushing its valuation to around $965 billion; OpenAI's valuation on the secondary market is around $80 billion, with a target valuation of around $73 billion to $85 billion. Bloomberg even estimated that the entire AI IPO pipeline is worth around $360 billion, and SpaceX is also rumored to be planning to go public with a valuation of around $1.75 trillion. This level of collective listing has not been seen since the internet bubble era.
Key Points
- Anthropic files first: On June 1, 2026, Anthropic confidentially submitted its S-1 filing, with a valuation of around $965 billion. It is widely believed that it has the potential to become the first AI company to go public with a valuation of over $1 trillion, and may list on the Nasdaq or NYSE as early as the fourth quarter of this year.
- OpenAI follows: On June 8, OpenAI confidentially submitted its filing, with underwriters Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, and a target valuation of around $73 billion to $85 billion; ChatGPT has around 900 million weekly active users.
- Financial health differs: Reports indicate that Anthropic's annual revenue has grown from around $9 billion at the end of 2025 to over $44 billion in May 2026, and is approaching its first quarterly profit; OpenAI's revenue has doubled, but it is still burning money heavily and is unlikely to turn cash-flow positive in the short term.
- The overall pie is huge: The total valuation of the AI IPO pipeline is around $360 billion, equivalent to an industry pushing several "giants" to the public market at the same time.
Market Impact Analysis
Taiwanese users: In the short term, your ChatGPT and Claude won't suddenly become more expensive or difficult to use just because they are going public, but you should be prepared for the medium to long term. Once a company becomes a public company, it has to be responsible to its shareholders for its revenue and profit numbers. The previous strategy of "first providing free services and not worrying about losing money" will slowly be replaced by "trying to make more money from each user". Reductions in free quotas, price increases for Plus/Pro plans, and putting good features into high-priced plans are all common scripts after a company goes public. My suggestion is: develop the habit of not relying too heavily on a single company's products, and consider reading our article ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini: Which One Should You Choose After Using Them for a Year?.
Enterprise applications: For Taiwanese enterprises, this is actually good news, at least in terms of governance transparency. Public companies have to disclose their financial reports regularly, are scrutinized by analysts, and are subject to SEC regulation, which means that when you introduce Claude or ChatGPT enterprise solutions, you will have more public information to consult on issues like "will the company suddenly go bankrupt" or "how is data security handled". However, the financial pressure after going public may also lead suppliers to more aggressively push high-priced bundled plans. When negotiating procurement, remember to ask "how long is the price lock-in period". For small and medium-sized enterprises, I think it's better to first solidify your foundation and then consider the five steps to introduce AI data analysis before making a big bet.
Developers: This wave of IPOs is most likely to make developers anxious and excited. The massive capital brought by the IPO will likely continue to be invested in model training and API infrastructure, and the possibility of more powerful and cheaper models in the short term is high. However, public companies are very sensitive to "gross margin", and API pricing, free quotas, and the speed of abandoning old models may all become more "commercial". If you are developing products, be sure to design your architecture with the assumption that model suppliers are replaceable components, and don't put all your eggs in one basket. If you want to build your own AI agent toolchain, you can refer to What Tools Should You Prepare to Build an AI Agent?.
Future Development Trends
First, pricing will become more realistic. The golden age of free services is coming to an end, and the era of "paying for value" is arriving. The difference lies in how elegantly or clumsily each company charges.
Second, competition will become more intense. With two companies going public at the same time, their financial reports will become an open battlefield, with each company's revenue growth rate and gross margin being scrutinized every quarter. Product iteration will only become faster.
Third, regulation and governance will be put under a microscope. After going public, AI safety, data privacy, and copyright disputes will all be examined more closely by shareholders and regulatory bodies, which is actually a good thing for users.
TheAI College Summary and Commentary
Honestly, when I saw these two companies lining up to go public, my first reaction was not "wow, that's amazing", but "finally, it's time to turn in their homework". After burning so much money for so long, the market finally gets to ask: is this business model viable? Going public is like taking an exam.
The AI companies lining up to go public on Wall Street represent not the bursting of a bubble, but the end of the "free trial period" - from now on, every dollar's value has to be accounted for.
My specific advice for Taiwanese readers: don't be intimidated by the "trillion-dollar valuation" figures, and don't follow the crowd into any related investments. Focus on yourself - develop the habit of not relying too heavily on a single AI tool, and build a workflow that is not tied to a single company. When the price increase wave really comes, you will have the flexibility to switch.
Disclaimer: This article is a compilation of industry dynamics, and the content involves the valuation and market information of unlisted companies, which does not constitute any investment advice. Investment carries risk, please evaluate and consult professional opinions yourself.
Sources
- TechCrunch: OpenAI files confidentially for IPO, following Anthropic
- CNBC: OpenAI confidentially files for IPO, prepping Wall Street for AI debut
- Fortune: Anthropic confidentially files for IPO after raising $65 billion at a $965 billion valuation
Compiled based on publicly available information, with official sources taken as accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
「機密遞表」是什麼意思?跟一般上市有什麼不同?
機密遞表(confidential filing)是美國 SEC 允許大型企業先把上市草稿文件(S-1)私下送審,不對外公開財務細節,等接近正式掛牌前再轉公開。好處是公司可以先卡位、保留彈性,也不用太早把財報細節攤給對手看。它代表公司「有意上市並啟動流程」,但不等於馬上就會掛牌,時間點仍可能調整。
Anthropic 和 OpenAI 真的要馬上上市了嗎?
兩家都只是在 2026 年 6 月初完成機密遞表,還沒正式掛牌。Anthropic(6/1)被認為最快今年第四季可能在那斯達克或紐交所掛牌;OpenAI(6/8)則明確表示時間點尚未決定。遞表給了它們「想上市時隨時可以上」的選項,但不代表近期一定會。
上市之後,我用的 ChatGPT、Claude 會漲價嗎?
短期內不會因為遞表就立刻漲價,但中長期要有心理準備。上市公司必須對股東的營收獲利負責,過去那種大量免費衝用戶的策略,會逐漸轉向「想辦法從每個用戶多賺一點」,常見做法包括縮減免費額度、調高付費方案、把好功能放進高價方案。建議現在就養成不綁死單一工具的習慣。
這波 AI 上市潮,普通人需要跟著投資嗎?
本文不構成投資建議。AI 上市公司估值動輒上看兆美元,波動與風險都很大,且多家公司短期仍在大量燒錢、未達現金流轉正。一般人與其追逐相關投資,不如把精力放在「學會用好這些工具、分散依賴」上,這對你的職涯與生產力幫助更實在。